Cast your mind back to the end of October when so many pundits had already anointed Chelsea the 2011 Barclay’s Premier League Champions. In their first ten games Chelsea won 8, drew 1 and lost the other. Lately Chelsea have been enjoying another great run of results.
Now the Premier League schedule is not a straight image of the first half (I have never understood why not) but there are parts of it that are pretty close. If we take the results of the rematches from the first ten matches you find that Chelsea’s form has been fairly consistent.
Over the rematches the only difference has been two wins traded for a loss and a draw. So in 20 matches against WBA, Wigan, West Ham, Blackpool, Manchester City, Arsenal, Aston Villa, Wolves and Blackburn Chelsea have picked up 45 points at an average of 2.25 points per game.
It also worth noting that Chelsea’s goal difference over these games was +33.
In the other 14 matches, Chelsea have only collected 22 points – that averages slightly over 1.5 points per game and a goal difference of only +4. So are Chelsea playing better or is this part of the schedule just in their favour?
If Chelsea had maintained the rate they set over the aforementioned 20 games they would be going into the last four games of the season with at least a three point lead at the top of the table.
They would also be heading for an 85/86 point season – a tally that Manchester United could only match by winning their final four games of the season.
Of course moving from the theoretical to the practical has to take into consideration that in around 10 days time Chelsea travels to Old Trafford to play Manchester United and something has to give.
Chelsea won the game at Stamford Bridge 2-1. On Saturday Chelsea are home to Spurs (1-1 at White Hart Lane) and post-Old Trafford they play at home to Newcastle and away to Everton – two opponents that first time around they also drew 1-1 with.
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